Thursday, August 21, 2008

good article

a very good article to share..

According to Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book entitled The Black Swan, we should stop trying to predict anything and instead take advantage of uncertainty.

A lot of investors or analysts may spend a lot of time trying to predict the market bottom. We should not try to predict when the market will reach its bottom as we will never know until it happens.

Risk means uncertainty of outcome. The stock market reacts negatively to risk. Whenever the stock market has a lot of uncertainties, all stocks - regardless of whether they are good or poor fundamental stocks - will be hammered down.

However, we always believe crisis means opportunities. The recent drop in market prices creates magnificent investment opportunities. Even though the market may drop further as there are still a lot of uncertainties and outstanding negative news pending announcement, we believe there is great opportunity for long-term investment.

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